crypto:chia:chance_of_winning

# Crypto - Chia - Chance of Winning

There are 4608 chances to win 2 TXCH per day.

The math is .010 PB/200 PB * 4608 * 2 = 0.46.

The formula is:

Chance = Total Size of Plots / Total Network Space * 4608 * 2

**NOTE:** Convert the following 2 fields to the same size.

- If
**Total Network Space**is in EB, and**Total Size of Plots**is in**TB**, then divide this last figure by 1,0000,000 to have everything in**TB**.

**Total Size of Plots**: The size of your plots.**Total Network Space**: The size of the total storage on mainnet.

Example:

- Total Size of Plots = 10 TB.
- Total Network Space = 29 EB.

*Convert to EB*

- Total Size of Plots = 10/1000000 = 0.00001 EB.

*Calculate Chance*

- Chance = 0.00001 / 29 * 4608 *2 = 0.003177931.

*Format this Chance*

- This means you would expect to win 0.003177931 TXCH per day on average.
- Therefore 1 / 0.003177931 = 314.670142303 days for 1 TXCH
- But as a Win gives 2 TXCH, the time to Win is 314.670142303 * 2 = 629.340284607 days.

crypto/chia/chance_of_winning.txt · Last modified: 2021/06/30 18:34 by peter